Race 1B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Daniel Perkins 13.3% 15.4% 12.2% 10.4% 11.5% 8.1% 7.8% 6.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Tyler Rice 9.8% 10.5% 10.7% 8.4% 8.7% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 7.9% 7.4% 3.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Jennifer Proctor 11.3% 9.9% 10.1% 9.7% 7.3% 9.8% 9.6% 9.5% 7.5% 5.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Ryan Mullins 11.8% 13.5% 10.9% 11.8% 9.9% 9.8% 8.2% 7.1% 5.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Katherine Doble 3.5% 4.6% 5.4% 6.0% 5.6% 6.8% 7.7% 7.2% 10.4% 10.5% 9.2% 11.2% 8.5% 3.4%
Willem Sandberg 12.0% 10.2% 13.6% 10.5% 9.9% 9.6% 8.0% 8.0% 5.7% 5.9% 3.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Bradley Abbott 4.1% 3.3% 5.6% 4.1% 6.1% 5.0% 5.2% 7.5% 7.5% 10.6% 11.7% 12.4% 12.8% 4.1%
Matthew Paige 5.0% 5.5% 4.7% 6.5% 4.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 10.2% 10.1% 3.1%
Emily Billing 10.2% 9.0% 8.5% 9.5% 10.2% 10.6% 9.3% 8.5% 7.2% 5.3% 6.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Bo McClatchy 8.4% 7.6% 7.3% 9.6% 9.9% 8.2% 9.6% 8.1% 8.9% 7.4% 6.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Robert Lippincott 4.8% 4.3% 3.3% 6.1% 6.4% 7.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 13.1% 10.3% 7.4% 3.8%
David Hill 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 6.3% 7.5% 15.4% 25.8% 23.3%
Ryan Byrne 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 4.3% 5.9% 5.7% 7.6% 7.2% 8.4% 9.8% 11.6% 12.2% 10.2% 3.8%
John Fonte 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 5.2% 7.9% 16.2% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.