← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.88+4.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.69+0.59vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College0.19+7.37vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University0.85+4.10vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.93-0.19vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.57-0.16vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.80vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+3.57vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.27vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.16vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University0.41-1.32vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University-0.75+0.97vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania-0.06-1.78vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.41-7.66vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University0.99-7.20vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.19-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.77University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
3.59Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
-
11.37SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.1Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.81Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.84Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.2University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
12.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.68Cornell University0.410.0%1st Place
-
13.97Fordham University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.22University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.34University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
8.8Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
15.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 21.7% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Maya Conway | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 13.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 9.5% |
| Brook Wood | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Kit Harned | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 25.6% |
| Annabelle Brameld | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 17.8% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.