Race 2B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bo McClatchy 8.4% 8.2% 10.8% 8.1% 7.3% 9.8% 8.8% 11.0% 7.8% 6.3% 5.8% 4.2% 2.7% 0.8%
Daniel Perkins 15.6% 12.6% 13.5% 10.3% 10.6% 10.1% 8.7% 7.0% 4.5% 3.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 4.7% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.4% 5.7% 5.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.8% 12.0% 11.8% 8.6% 2.3%
Willem Sandberg 10.8% 13.3% 11.2% 10.4% 11.7% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 6.0% 5.3% 3.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Proctor 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.5% 9.1% 7.2% 7.8% 5.8% 5.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Robert Lippincott 4.7% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 5.7% 7.3% 6.5% 9.1% 8.7% 10.4% 11.4% 9.7% 10.0% 2.9%
Tyler Rice 10.2% 10.9% 9.5% 8.4% 11.1% 8.3% 8.9% 7.9% 8.5% 6.6% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Ryan Mullins 13.5% 13.3% 11.0% 11.1% 9.7% 7.7% 8.0% 6.2% 7.5% 6.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Katherine Doble 5.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.5% 12.2% 11.1% 6.5% 3.1%
Bradley Abbott 3.1% 3.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 10.4% 9.4% 15.2% 13.4% 5.6%
Ryan Byrne 3.7% 3.9% 3.8% 6.1% 4.3% 7.7% 7.0% 6.0% 9.8% 10.3% 11.3% 11.1% 10.4% 4.6%
Emily Billing 8.8% 9.7% 9.7% 12.1% 9.4% 8.8% 9.6% 7.9% 8.8% 5.2% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
David Hill 1.8% 1.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 4.1% 3.5% 6.3% 8.1% 13.7% 26.7% 23.3%
John Fonte 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 0.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 1.1% 3.7% 5.5% 9.0% 15.7% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.