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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.88+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.46vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+3.84vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.15vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.93-1.22vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57-1.12vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.47+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.15-1.75vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.75+3.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.59vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.19-1.32vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-6.42vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.41-4.10vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.19-0.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.84Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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5.78Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.76Cornell University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
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14.17Fordham University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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10.9Cornell University0.410.0%1st Place
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15.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 22.6% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brook Wood | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Grace Sannino | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Margaux Cowles | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Hemans | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 30.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kit Harned | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 44.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.