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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+5.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+1.67vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.43+5.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-3.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-0.52vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-4.82vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.23-4.88vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-0.42vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.28vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-8.86vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-6.19vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-5.66vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.08-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.51Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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12.58Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 27.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.