← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.53+8.71vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.47+4.12vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.13vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.43+2.01vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.00+2.62vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.66vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.75+1.68vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.29vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.69+3.77vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.23-2.94vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.54-5.15vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.49-1.98vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.40-6.87vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.62-5.07vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.45vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.43-2.36vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.12-5.68vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont1.08-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.71Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
-
6.12Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.01Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.62Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.68Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
12.77Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.06University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.85Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
10.02Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.93Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
13.64Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
-
11.32Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
14.51University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 10.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 28.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 18.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.