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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+7.94vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.86vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.76vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+1.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+1.43vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+2.94vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-4.69vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.08+0.44vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-9.14vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-6.21vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.43-3.22vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.12-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.43Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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12.94Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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14.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.78Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 28.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 28.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.