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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+8.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+6.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+4.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+2.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+4.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.63vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-1.30vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+1.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12+2.13vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-3.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.99vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69+1.05vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-7.09vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-6.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.43-2.32vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.44vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.91Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.46Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.05Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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14.65University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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13.68Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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14.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 28.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.5% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.