Race 3B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Mullins 12.6% 14.2% 12.2% 11.1% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 5.1% 5.8% 3.8% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Tyler Rice 9.8% 11.4% 9.6% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 9.7% 8.7% 7.9% 8.0% 4.2% 2.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Jennifer Proctor 10.2% 11.1% 8.7% 9.6% 10.8% 9.0% 7.5% 10.0% 7.8% 6.1% 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5%
Katherine Doble 3.4% 4.9% 6.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.4% 10.4% 8.7% 11.4% 10.4% 8.9% 2.6%
Emily Billing 8.6% 8.7% 11.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.5% 9.3% 9.6% 7.5% 6.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Ryan Byrne 4.2% 3.8% 3.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.3% 7.6% 7.1% 10.0% 9.1% 10.4% 11.9% 13.5% 3.2%
Matthew Paige 5.1% 4.8% 6.4% 6.2% 5.7% 5.4% 8.9% 9.2% 8.2% 10.2% 8.8% 11.1% 7.4% 2.6%
Daniel Perkins 14.8% 13.5% 12.4% 10.4% 10.2% 8.6% 7.5% 6.6% 5.7% 4.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Willem Sandberg 12.4% 10.7% 11.8% 9.7% 11.6% 10.9% 6.9% 8.4% 6.9% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 4.5% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 12.0% 10.8% 7.7% 3.3%
Bo McClatchy 8.9% 7.6% 7.0% 9.6% 9.1% 9.2% 8.0% 9.3% 7.5% 8.3% 7.1% 4.6% 3.2% 0.6%
John Fonte 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 4.9% 8.0% 15.8% 58.2%
David Hill 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.7% 4.2% 2.7% 4.3% 6.3% 8.5% 12.6% 25.8% 24.3%
Bradley Abbott 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 5.8% 6.3% 7.3% 10.8% 11.8% 16.3% 11.1% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.