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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+6.78vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+2.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-1.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+6.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.35vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-3.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.96vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-4.53vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.12-3.13vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-2.31vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-6.23vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.43-3.22vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.08-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.78Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.7Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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14.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.69Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.78Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 19.5% | 28.8% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.