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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.69+11.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+2.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47-0.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+0.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75+0.62vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53+0.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.83vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-4.82vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-2.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.98vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-5.31vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.43-2.33vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.08-2.26vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.04Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.67Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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14.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 30.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.