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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.77+6.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+3.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.26vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.01vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.22vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+2.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81-1.55vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37+3.01vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.50vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.10-5.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.32vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-5.97vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.66-0.10vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-2.81vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.12vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.03Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.9Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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15.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.9Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 7.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Mason Stang | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 25.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 47.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.