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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+2.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.90vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.83vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-0.85vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.10-3.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-4.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37+1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-2.82vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.77-6.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.66-0.13vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-2.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.12vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.11Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.46Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.87Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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15.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.92Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.6% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 7.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 25.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 46.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.