Race 4B

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robert Lippincott 4.8% 4.1% 5.3% 6.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 9.1% 9.5% 11.0% 9.8% 7.5% 3.2%
Ryan Mullins 14.1% 13.6% 10.6% 10.9% 10.9% 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 4.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Paige 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 4.9% 9.2% 10.0% 10.4% 9.4% 12.6% 8.4% 2.2%
Daniel Perkins 12.2% 14.4% 12.2% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 7.0% 6.8% 5.7% 4.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Tyler Rice 7.9% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6% 8.6% 9.5% 7.3% 7.8% 6.5% 7.4% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Emily Billing 9.2% 8.8% 10.5% 10.7% 8.9% 8.5% 10.7% 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 4.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5%
Willem Sandberg 13.8% 12.7% 13.2% 9.8% 8.4% 10.0% 10.5% 6.8% 5.5% 4.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Bo McClatchy 8.7% 9.1% 8.7% 8.4% 9.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.6% 6.9% 7.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.6%
Jennifer Proctor 9.7% 7.7% 10.2% 10.9% 9.5% 10.8% 8.7% 8.7% 6.8% 7.4% 4.3% 3.3% 1.9% 0.1%
David Hill 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 5.2% 5.8% 8.2% 13.8% 25.8% 25.5%
Bradley Abbott 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 5.4% 5.2% 6.8% 5.7% 8.5% 10.7% 13.0% 12.6% 12.5% 6.1%
Ryan Byrne 3.6% 4.1% 4.5% 4.1% 5.7% 6.9% 6.3% 8.3% 10.5% 9.2% 9.7% 12.9% 9.9% 4.3%
Katherine Doble 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.7% 9.2% 8.1% 10.6% 11.2% 9.8% 7.5% 2.3%
John Fonte 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 5.4% 7.7% 18.5% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.