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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+7.04vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+3.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+3.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+0.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+0.79vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.92+2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08+4.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-2.85vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-1.25vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-5.54vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-2.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-2.22vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.49-5.94vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.91Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.15Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.06Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 41.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.