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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+5.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+5.66vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+4.22vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.49+3.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.53vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.92+2.93vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.46-3.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-2.91vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-4.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-4.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-1.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.16vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.70vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.09Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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4.9Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.09Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 39.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.