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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+3.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+3.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+5.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+4.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+1.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.07+0.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+0.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08+3.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00-1.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-2.87vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-7.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Brown University2.460.2%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.27Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 39.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.