Race 5B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 12.8% 13.6% 11.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.1% 8.0% 5.4% 5.4% 6.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5%
Ryan Mullins 13.7% 12.3% 11.7% 11.3% 10.7% 9.3% 10.1% 7.7% 4.6% 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Bo McClatchy 8.3% 8.2% 10.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 7.8% 9.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.6%
Tyler Rice 8.4% 10.1% 9.9% 9.6% 8.3% 9.7% 8.3% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 5.5% 3.1% 2.2% 0.4%
David Hill 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 2.9% 2.3% 3.9% 3.8% 5.6% 9.4% 13.0% 25.5% 24.8%
Bradley Abbott 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 3.7% 6.2% 8.5% 8.2% 9.9% 12.5% 13.0% 13.4% 5.8%
Jennifer Proctor 11.7% 11.0% 9.1% 11.0% 9.5% 9.4% 7.2% 9.2% 8.5% 4.9% 4.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Robert Lippincott 5.2% 4.3% 6.3% 5.0% 6.6% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 9.6% 9.6% 11.4% 9.1% 3.2%
Emily Billing 8.9% 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 11.0% 10.6% 9.2% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Daniel Perkins 12.5% 13.1% 12.8% 11.3% 10.5% 9.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.4% 3.5% 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 4.2% 4.8% 3.3% 7.0% 6.1% 6.3% 7.8% 7.2% 8.5% 11.0% 11.1% 12.3% 7.5% 2.9%
Katherine Doble 4.5% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.4% 7.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 2.9%
Ryan Byrne 4.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.6% 5.4% 6.1% 8.1% 6.1% 9.4% 9.0% 11.4% 13.4% 9.7% 3.1%
John Fonte 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 0.6% 1.8% 0.8% 1.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 5.4% 8.7% 16.9% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.