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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+3.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+3.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+3.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+1.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+3.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+2.06vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.83-0.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+2.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.32vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+0.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-6.52vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-5.33vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.33Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.06Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 14.6% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 9.7% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 14.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 44.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.