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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+4.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+6.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+3.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+1.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46-0.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.60vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+0.98vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+0.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08+1.38vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.83-4.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-6.57vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-3.46vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.96Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.43Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 42.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.