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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+5.76vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+6.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+2.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+1.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.07+0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.49vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.92+1.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00+0.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.30vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.49-2.92vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.74-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-0.51vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-5.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.16Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 14.6% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.2% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 42.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.