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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+7.11vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+3.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+2.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83+0.89vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+1.00vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+2.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00+0.66vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-5.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-4.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-3.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-6.54vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-4.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.92Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 7.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.