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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+4.79vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+2.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+2.34vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+0.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.08+0.88vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-1.66vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.20-1.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.13-2.27vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.77vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.84-3.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University-1.11-0.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.48Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.34Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.5Harvard University2.470.2%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.9Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 15.9% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 16.5% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 68.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 26.0% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.