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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.08+7.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.20+6.25vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.93vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+3.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43-0.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-1.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01-1.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-2.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73-2.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.13-1.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.84-2.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-4.15vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.68Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.47Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.83Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| bella casaretto | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 3.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 12.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 4.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.