← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.47+3.45vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.43+2.46vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.01+2.73vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.04vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.73+1.79vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.08+2.90vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.76+2.75vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.13-2.49vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.13-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.52-2.50vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.20-2.47vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.84-2.18vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.36-1.81vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-6.16vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-1.11-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45Harvard University2.470.2%1st Place
-
4.46Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
-
5.73Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.79Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
-
8.9University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.75University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
5.51Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
8.64Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
-
7.5Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
8.53Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
9.82Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
-
11.19Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
-
13.84Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 16.4% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 3.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 25.6% | 12.6% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.