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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.08+6.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+3.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+6.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+0.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73+0.33vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-2.67vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.84+0.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-4.75vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-0.81+2.10vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.20-3.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.13-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-4.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Harvard University2.470.2%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.33Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.33Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.25Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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13.1Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.52Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 18.1% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Viola Henry | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 30.2% | 36.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 24.0% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.