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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+3.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+2.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.13+5.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.84+5.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+0.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13-0.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20+0.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.08-1.51vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.73-4.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-1.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-2.68vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.81-0.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Harvard University2.470.2%1st Place
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4.26Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.17Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.95Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.34Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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13.09Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.49Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 17.5% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 16.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Allison Nystrom | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Viola Henry | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 28.7% | 36.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 23.6% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.