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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+3.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.08+4.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43-0.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.13+2.43vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.84+2.23vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-2.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20-0.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-3.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-0.68vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-4.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-3.23vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.36-3.36vs Predicted
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15Boston University-3.76-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.29Harvard University2.470.2%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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4.54Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.26Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.91Boston University-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes Escandon | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 16.3% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 16.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 23.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 0.8% |
| Ada Ucar | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.