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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.38+3.49vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+0.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.48+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45-0.67vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.08-0.68vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.51-4.61vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida0.67-5.01vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.86-1.65vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.79-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of South Florida1.860.3%1st Place
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5.49University of Miami0.380.1%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.31Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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6.32Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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8.24Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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9.35Embry-Riddle University-1.860.0%1st Place
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10.31Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 30.8% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 19.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 6.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 19.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 28.3% | 25.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Speh | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 39.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 19.7% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.