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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+1.72vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+1.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.48+2.44vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.38+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida0.67-2.24vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.08-1.63vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.70vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-2.79+0.28vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.86-1.68vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.51-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of South Florida1.860.3%1st Place
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3.24Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Miami0.380.1%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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6.37Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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8.3Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.28Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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9.32Embry-Riddle University-1.860.0%1st Place
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3.24Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 28.8% | 25.1% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 22.1% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 27.8% | 25.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 19.4% | 65.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Speh | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 17.0% | 40.1% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 22.1% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.