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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.38+3.47vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.88+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida0.67+1.05vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.48+0.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.51-2.69vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.51-3.69vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-2.82vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08-2.58vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-1.73vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.86-1.66vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.79-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of South Florida1.860.3%1st Place
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5.47University of Miami0.380.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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5.29Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.18University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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6.42Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.27Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.34Embry-Riddle University-1.860.0%1st Place
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10.31Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 28.6% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 21.3% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 21.3% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 30.8% | 22.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Carter Speh | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 40.7% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 20.6% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.