← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.06vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.10+0.17vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.40-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-0.79-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.06Maine Maritime Academy0.4136.9%1st Place
-
2.17University of New Hampshire0.1032.0%1st Place
-
2.65Bates College-0.4020.2%1st Place
-
3.13Salve Regina University-0.7910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 36.9% | 30.9% | 21.8% | 10.4% |
| Sam Harris | 32.0% | 31.8% | 23.6% | 12.6% |
| Cameron Frary | 20.2% | 22.3% | 30.0% | 27.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 10.9% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.