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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+5.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+2.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+3.04vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.41+4.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.89vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.55-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.25+1.79vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+0.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-3.08vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.53-1.71vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-5.72vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.89vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.41-1.86vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University0.67-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.69Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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8.09Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.410.0%1st Place
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12.53Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 13.9% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Byrne | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Abbott | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 3.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Emily Billing | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| David Hill | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 26.8% | 23.2% |
| John Fonte | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.