Race 5A

yale-fj-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Clark Morris 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.5% 8.3% 6.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.5% 6.4% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Ximena Escobar 5.6% 7.0% 5.9% 6.4% 6.2% 7.3% 6.7% 4.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.1% 6.5% 5.9% 5.0% 1.8%
Mateo Farina 14.1% 11.5% 10.5% 11.9% 11.1% 8.3% 7.4% 8.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 2.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Nathan Sih 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 8.5% 7.4% 9.0% 5.6% 5.1% 6.7% 4.5% 3.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Luke Hosek 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 4.4% 7.7% 8.1% 6.7% 9.5% 9.3% 9.9% 8.1% 5.8%
Laura Hamilton 12.5% 11.4% 13.1% 10.7% 8.4% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 5.3% 4.8% 3.7% 2.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Beck Lorsch 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 3.2% 2.5% 2.4% 4.9% 4.9% 7.5% 10.5% 15.0% 36.5%
Jack Roman 6.9% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 6.1% 8.0% 7.3% 6.1% 4.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Connor Macken 4.8% 5.9% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 6.1% 7.3% 4.4% 3.5%
Shea Smith 7.0% 5.6% 5.1% 5.1% 8.6% 6.4% 7.7% 7.2% 8.0% 9.5% 7.6% 6.3% 7.2% 4.4% 3.3% 1.0%
Gus Macaulay 6.0% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 5.6% 5.9% 6.7% 5.4% 7.0% 8.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8% 2.0%
Reid Nelson 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.9% 4.6% 6.4% 6.1% 9.9% 11.8% 16.7% 17.8%
Cam Spriggs 9.9% 10.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.4% 7.8% 7.9% 7.9% 7.3% 5.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Gavin VanManen 2.8% 2.6% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 5.1% 4.0% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 6.8% 9.0% 9.1% 11.8% 14.5% 11.1%
Julian Henderson 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.1% 4.9% 5.3% 7.8% 9.3% 12.5% 16.6% 17.6%
Bradley Whiteway 5.9% 5.9% 6.8% 6.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.2% 7.7% 6.4% 7.2% 3.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.