Race 8B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bo McClatchy 7.5% 9.2% 10.4% 7.9% 9.2% 9.3% 8.8% 9.4% 7.5% 7.0% 6.6% 3.3% 2.9% 1.0%
Ryan Mullins 14.2% 12.3% 11.9% 11.7% 10.1% 9.9% 9.5% 6.9% 4.3% 3.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Emily Billing 10.2% 10.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.1% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.3% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Daniel Perkins 12.7% 14.1% 12.8% 11.4% 10.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 3.7% 3.9% 6.2% 5.5% 5.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.7% 7.0% 11.9% 9.6% 11.5% 9.4% 3.2%
Jennifer Proctor 10.1% 8.0% 9.5% 11.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 6.3% 5.7% 3.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Bradley Abbott 3.6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.4% 5.6% 5.6% 4.7% 6.4% 8.2% 10.7% 11.7% 13.2% 12.6% 3.7%
Willem Sandberg 12.6% 14.9% 9.4% 10.5% 10.2% 8.1% 8.4% 7.4% 6.1% 5.4% 3.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Paige 5.7% 3.3% 4.6% 5.8% 5.5% 5.3% 7.8% 8.8% 8.9% 10.9% 11.2% 12.6% 6.9% 2.7%
Ryan Byrne 3.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 6.8% 7.3% 6.9% 10.2% 8.9% 11.4% 12.5% 10.3% 4.4%
Tyler Rice 9.7% 8.0% 9.5% 9.5% 9.1% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 6.9% 4.8% 4.4% 2.5% 0.4%
Katherine Doble 3.9% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% 6.8% 9.3% 10.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.9% 8.6% 3.4%
David Hill 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 5.2% 5.8% 8.3% 13.0% 26.3% 23.9%
John Fonte 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 5.4% 8.8% 15.3% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.