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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+4.06vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.39+4.05vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+4.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+4.76vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.42+1.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.90+1.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+1.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-3.69vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.38-0.22vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-3.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-0.44vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.37-0.11vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-5.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.98-3.77vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.78-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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5.31Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.89Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.08Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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11.87Roger Williams University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Connor Macken | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Clark Morris | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Julian Henderson | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 32.9% |
| Ximena Escobar | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Gavin VanManen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% |
| Reid Nelson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.