Race 9A

yale-fj-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nathan Sih 10.2% 11.2% 10.9% 8.9% 8.9% 8.1% 8.8% 6.7% 7.2% 4.1% 5.1% 4.4% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Gavin VanManen 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.8% 6.7% 5.4% 7.2% 10.2% 11.4% 14.9% 12.1%
Cam Spriggs 11.5% 10.0% 9.2% 7.9% 9.2% 9.0% 9.4% 7.6% 8.1% 5.6% 3.8% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Laura Hamilton 12.6% 11.7% 11.7% 10.5% 9.3% 8.7% 7.6% 6.4% 5.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.4% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3%
Mateo Farina 12.7% 13.9% 11.3% 11.6% 9.5% 8.5% 7.4% 6.8% 5.7% 4.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Clark Morris 5.5% 5.1% 8.1% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 7.2% 7.5% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 4.7% 3.6% 1.5%
Jack Roman 7.9% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 7.4% 6.0% 6.6% 9.3% 6.8% 6.3% 7.7% 6.9% 6.2% 4.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Ximena Escobar 5.7% 6.9% 5.7% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.8% 7.7% 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.4%
Shea Smith 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 5.6% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.3% 5.4% 5.2% 3.7% 1.4%
Connor Macken 5.2% 5.2% 3.9% 6.4% 5.1% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 7.5% 8.0% 7.8% 4.1% 2.1%
Julian Henderson 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.0% 4.4% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 11.4% 16.2% 18.3%
Reid Nelson 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 1.7% 3.1% 4.5% 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 11.9% 15.0% 20.5%
Luke Hosek 2.8% 3.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 6.0% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 9.5% 9.0% 8.7% 9.4% 5.4%
Gus Macaulay 4.9% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 6.1% 7.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.3% 5.4% 5.0% 1.7%
Bradley Whiteway 6.5% 4.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 8.1% 8.0% 6.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0%
Beck Lorsch 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.5% 3.3% 2.5% 4.3% 4.0% 5.3% 8.2% 11.4% 17.3% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.