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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.51+3.09vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.36+1.94vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-0.99vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.44+0.86vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.68-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.49-0.42vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.79-1.04vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49College of Charleston2.280.6%1st Place
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5.09University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.94Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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3.01Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.47Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.22The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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8.96North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.12College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 64.4% | 26.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.5% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.1% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.3% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Henry Parker | 4.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 12.3% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 28.0% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 29.4% | 21.0% |
| James Nave | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.