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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.48vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.68+3.38vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+1.56vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-0.95vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.36-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.44-0.36vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-2.79+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.49-1.48vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48College of Charleston2.280.6%1st Place
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5.38The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.56Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.05Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.79Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.06University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.99North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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7.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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10.11College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 64.1% | 26.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.7% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.2% | 27.9% | 25.7% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.4% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.5% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 31.5% | 20.5% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 22.0% | 28.3% | 12.6% |
| James Nave | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 19.7% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.