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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.49vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+2.47vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.68+2.51vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.36+0.92vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-2.02vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.44-1.30vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-2.790.00vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-3.72+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-2.49-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49College of Charleston2.280.6%1st Place
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4.47Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.51The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.92Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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2.98Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.11University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.0North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.09College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 64.1% | 26.3% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.1% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.2% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.6% | 28.7% | 24.3% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.0% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 32.4% | 21.3% |
| James Nave | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 18.3% | 61.2% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 25.6% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.