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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.46vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.78vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.36+1.59vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.68+1.07vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.44-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-2.49+0.18vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.21-1.17vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.79-1.31vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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2.78Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.59Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.07The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.12Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.69North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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9.96College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 65.6% | 24.6% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.7% | 33.5% | 25.0% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.2% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.9% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 22.9% | 9.8% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 19.3% |
| James Nave | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.