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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+1.81vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.28-0.55vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+4.13vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.29vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.68-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.44+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-2.21+0.63vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.36-3.60vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.49-0.74vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.79-1.34vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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1.45College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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7.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.29Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.99The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.63University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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4.4Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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8.66North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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9.95College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 14.3% | 33.6% | 24.7% | 16.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Garcia | 65.6% | 25.4% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.7% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 4.2% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Weese | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 6.5% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.5% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 12.3% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 26.7% | 18.0% |
| James Nave | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.