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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Georgia-1.44+4.38vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+1.27vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-1.14vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.680.00vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.36-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-2.49+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.21-1.16vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.79-1.29vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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6.38University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.27Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.86Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.0The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.5Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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7.84University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.71North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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9.99College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 66.2% | 25.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Weese | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.8% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.5% | 31.9% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 4.2% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.1% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 10.3% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 7.9% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 27.3% | 19.7% |
| James Nave | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.