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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+6.45vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+2.59vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University5.19-0.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.84+5.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+1.15vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.90-0.56vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.34-3.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.76-1.80vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.15+2.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.49-6.18vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.89-2.13vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.25-1.18vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University1.91-0.99vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.86-4.81vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.64-2.24vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.69-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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3.66Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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13.37Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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5.82Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.87Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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14.01Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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14.76Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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16.42Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 21.9% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Colin Feik | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 10.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.7% | 17.7% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.