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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.48vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.94vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.68+2.51vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee-2.49+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-0.87vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-2.79+1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.44-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.59vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.36-5.29vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48College of Charleston2.280.6%1st Place
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2.94Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.51The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.59Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.13University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.86North Carolina State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.71Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.09College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 64.0% | 26.5% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.9% | 29.4% | 25.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Blessington | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 27.5% | 14.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 29.5% | 20.7% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.6% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Nave | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 20.1% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.