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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.43vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.26+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.05vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.38+0.64vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.23+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+1.74vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20-3.43vs Predicted
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8Duke University-1.86-1.18vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.63+0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-3.34-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-4.05-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.56Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.05University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.92Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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3.57The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.82Duke University-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.43College of Coastal Georgia-3.630.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Tennessee-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 66.6% | 25.4% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.7% | 20.3% | 23.8% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.5% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caz Doyle | 4.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 17.6% | 25.9% | 20.5% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.9% | 19.8% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hinchey | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 16.6% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 31.9% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 30.3% | 17.9% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.