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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.00+1.94vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.38+1.67vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26-0.31vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+1.76vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.86-0.20vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.23-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-3.34+0.07vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-3.63-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-4.05-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.94University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University-0.380.0%1st Place
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3.69Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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3.61The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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7.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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6.8Duke University-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.82Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
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9.36College of Coastal Georgia-3.630.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Tennessee-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 69.0% | 23.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 5.8% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caz Doyle | 3.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.5% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.5% | 19.3% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 16.4% | 27.6% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| John Hinchey | 1.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 25.8% | 27.8% | 20.2% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 28.6% | 28.4% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.