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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.42vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+1.61vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+0.64vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.23+2.07vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.38-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00-2.05vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.86-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-0.33vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.63+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-4.05-0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.34-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.61The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.64Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.07Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.53North Carolina State University-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.95University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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6.78Duke University-1.860.0%1st Place
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7.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.45College of Coastal Georgia-3.630.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Tennessee-4.050.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 68.9% | 22.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.1% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.4% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caz Doyle | 5.0% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 5.0% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hinchey | 1.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 25.4% | 20.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 32.1% | 29.4% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 23.3% | 48.0% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 25.2% | 26.8% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.