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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.42vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.26+1.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.38+1.65vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00-1.08vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.23-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-3.34+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-4.05+0.94vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.86-3.13vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.63-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.55Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.65North Carolina State University-0.380.0%1st Place
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3.74The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.92University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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5.96Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Tennessee-4.050.0%1st Place
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6.87Duke University-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.35College of Coastal Georgia-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 68.4% | 23.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.3% | 20.1% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caz Doyle | 3.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.3% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.8% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 25.5% | 21.0% | 11.2% | 3.0% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 25.2% | 27.5% | 19.3% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 50.6% |
| John Hinchey | 0.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 31.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.