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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.42vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+1.63vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.00+0.04vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.86+1.91vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.23-0.05vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-3.34+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-4.05-0.09vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.63-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.63The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.63Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.04University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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6.91Duke University-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.95Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.42North Carolina State University-0.380.1%1st Place
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7.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Tennessee-4.050.0%1st Place
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9.35College of Coastal Georgia-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 67.3% | 25.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.1% | 19.3% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.1% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 5.9% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hinchey | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 23.7% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 22.4% | 23.6% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caz Doyle | 5.7% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 11.9% | 2.6% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 23.7% | 28.3% | 20.6% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 49.5% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 21.0% | 30.3% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.