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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.26+2.75vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.36-0.56vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.82vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.23+2.13vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.86+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00-1.91vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+0.58vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.11-4.17vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.63+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-3.34-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-4.05-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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1.44College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.82The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.13Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.96Duke University-1.860.0%1st Place
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4.09University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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7.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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3.83North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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9.44College of Coastal Georgia-3.630.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Tennessee-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Barnes | 6.9% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 67.4% | 24.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.6% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 26.0% | 14.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| John Hinchey | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 22.7% | 24.0% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Noah Jost | 6.3% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 18.6% | 25.1% | 22.5% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 7.3% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 27.3% | 31.8% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 23.4% | 30.5% | 18.2% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 25.4% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.